How the LL Tiebreaker Could Work in Hobart's Favor

Credit this to an IC fan from the d3boards.com Liberty League page:

Assuming RPI/Bart/IC win out in LL, except for RPI over IC [making all three teams tied in the conference standings at 4-1]. I'll also assume the following:

 - Rochester loses to Union and St. Lawrence, so they have seven losses and are removed [likely]
 - St. Lawrence loses to Brockport, so they have six and are out [very likely]
 - Union gets to 5 with the win over Rochester [likely - what could throw this out the window however is if Union ends up in the 4-1 conversion because their easy OOC will likely have them in better position, but that's a big "if"]

This leaves us:

Hobart
Brockport: 5-0 Loss
Fisher: 0-4 Win
Shenandoah: 3-1 Win
Endicott: 1-4 Win
Hartwick: 2-3 not played
Union: Win

You're looking at 2-1, as I doubt Endicott and Fisher get to .500, and the Wick doesn't either (Not with Bart, Alfred, and Brockport on the docket)

RPI
WP: 0-4 Win
WPI: 3-2 Win
WNE: 3-2 Win
Buff State: 3-1 loss
Alfred: 5-0 Not played
Union: Win

I'm guessing Buff State finds themselves two wins (one will come against Fisher) and that they'll lose to Alfred [they did]. So, if WPI/WNE hold on, it's 3-2

Ithaca
Alfred 4-0 Loss
Brockport 5-0 loss
Utica 2-3 not played
Cortland 2-2 not played
Fisher: 0-4
Union: win

So you're 1-2, and the question is, can Utica and Cortland both get to .500 while losing to Ithaca, AND one of them losing to the other? This is going to be a tall order if Utica loses to Cortland, but it's possible.

So it looks like Hobart gets it, since the criteria is record, and 2-1 is better than 3-2.

Here's hoping this is a scenario that plays out, but it's got to start with a win on Saturday vs. RPI for the Statesmen. I'll have more on that matchup later this week.

Technically, the LL tie-breaker reads as follows:

In the sport of football, the league shall use the following tie-breaking formula to determine the automatic qualifier.  Prior to using the formula to determine the automatic qualifier, co-champions would be declared.

1.    Head-to-head results.
2.    Comparison of records between tied institutions beginning with the lowest conference finisher and continuing through the highest conference finisher.  If more than two teams are tied, at the point one team has been eliminated, revert back to step 1 (head-to-head results).
3.    Comparison of final winning percentage against all opponents with a record of .500 or above.  At the point when one team has been eliminated, revert back to step 1 (head-to-head results).
4.    Comparison of final winning percentage against all opponents with a record below .500.  At the point when one team has been eliminated, revert back to step 1 (head-to-head results).
5.    Coin flip.

The wrinkle here is that the LL cites winning percentage, not just W/L.

More on this to come. Thanks for reading and go 'Bart!